Statistical Analysis: Are late goals costing Tranmere’s push for National League promotion?

Tranmere Rovers’s fell victim to a heartbreaking injury-time winner against Gateshead recently but is this a case of the ‘same old routine’ for the Super Whites or a one off moment of fatigue?

As Micky Mellon’s men were ushering every available body behind the ball, they succumb to a Richie Sutton own goal to cost them three points, with the away side now 15th in the National League and five points off a playoff spot.

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Tranmere started well against Gateshead but a late goal cost them a vital point

While this may look like a case of tired legs, Tranmere, on average, concede the first goal when playing away in the 70th minute, highlighting that late on Rovers often fall asleep at the back, which has cost them heavily and now they are now beginning to pay the price.

Just last month Aldershot Town secured three points at home in similar circumstances as they bagged the winner in the fifth minute of stoppage time after a deep cross from Scott Rendell was not dealt with and Scott Davies could only watch in horror as the ball snook in.

Maidenhead have also caught a lucky-break as Harry Pritchard fired home from inside the box with yet another cross being let in at such a late stage, with these three examples all amounting to three points lost.

Against The Silkmen

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While late goals may be an issue in its own right, Tranmere’s away form is a problem that needs to be solved now, as Rovers have won just two out of 10 games on the road this season, a stark comparison compared to tomorrow’s opponents Macclesfield Town who have racked up seven wins away from Moss Rose stadium.

In terms of staying switched on, it will require the full concentration for Mellon’s men as The Silkmen tend to open the scoring just before half-time in the 41st minute; while away from home The Super Whites have opened their account just on the stroke of the first period in the 45th minute.

Macclesfield have, on average, conceded at home firstly in the 38th minute, which could make the latter stages of the first half very exciting, while this may be just statistical jargon, the likelihood of a first half filled with goals may be very likely.


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